India’s economy grew 7.8% in the June quarter of FY2026, higher than the 6.7% forecast. Growth was powered by strong performance in manufacturing, construction, and services. However, economists warned of a slowdown as U.S. tariffs and a weak rupee raise concerns.
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- GDP growth 7.8% in April-June, above forecast 6.7%
- Manufacturing up 7.7%, services up 9.3%, construction up 7.6%
- Nominal GDP slowed to 8.8%, down from 10.8% in prior quarter
- Soft deflator made real GDP appear stronger
- Corporate sector earnings in manufacturing remain solid
- U.S. tariffs of 50% on Indian imports began Wednesday
- Rupee fell past 88 per dollar, record low
- RBI cut policy rate to 5.5% in June, may cut again if slowdown persists
- Economists see tariffs pressuring growth in coming quarters
- World Bank projects 6.3% growth, IMF 6.4% for FY2026




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