By February 2028, renewable energy is expected to account for 37.4% of the United States’ total utility-scale generating capacity, second only to natural gas at 40.2%. The growth of solar and wind energy continues to dominate, although challenges from regulatory changes and investor uncertainty remain.

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• Renewable energy sources projected to make up 37.4% of U.S. generating capacity by February 2028.
• Natural gas will remain the largest source at 40.2% by 2028, followed by renewables.
• Solar and wind contributed over 98% of new electrical capacity installed in January 2025.
• Solar energy made up 68.2% of the new capacity installed in January 2025.
• January’s new additions included 2,945 MW from solar and 1,301 MW from wind.
• Solar has been the largest source of new power generation for 17 consecutive months.
• FERC expects solar capacity to grow by 89,033 MW from 2025-2028, surpassing wind’s 22,312 MW increase.
• Coal and oil capacity expected to decline sharply, while natural gas growth will be minimal.
• Regulatory changes under the Trump administration could slow renewable energy growth.
• Investor confidence in clean energy is weakening due to uncertainty around federal tax credits.