Maharashtra’s assembly elections on November 20 will shape the future of key political factions and alliances, particularly in the context of rivalry between factions of the Shiv Sena and NCP. As both Mahayuti and Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) compete, OBC votes, Maratha loyalty, and welfare schemes are pivotal in determining the outcome.

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Voters will decide between factions led by Uddhav Thackeray and Eknath Shinde within the Shiv Sena, each claiming to uphold Balasaheb Thackeray’s legacy.
The NCP is also divided, with Sharad Pawar and Ajit Pawar leading separate factions, influencing voter loyalty and party strength.
Mahayuti’s welfare schemes like Mukhyamantri Ladki Bahin Yojana and Annapurna Yojana aim to appeal to women and economically weaker voters.
The BJP’s recent inclusion of new castes in the OBC list and raised income caps seek to attract smaller OBC communities.
Maratha votes remain a key factor; the MVA, with leaders like Sharad Pawar, has historical support due to advocacy for Maratha interests.
The MVA leads slightly in recent polls, holding an advantage in 153 assembly segments compared to Mahayuti’s 126.
Welfare programs targeting farmers and low-income groups add to Mahayuti’s appeal among rural voters.
Traditional DMK (Dalit-Muslim-Kunbi) coalition of the MVA is seen as a counterweight to Mahayuti’s OBC outreach.
The election outcome will impact BJP, Congress, and alliances nationally, shifting power dynamics.
High-stakes rivalry will test loyalty towards the legacy leaders and determine future alliances in Maharashtra politics.