India is projected to surpass Japan as the world’s 4th largest economy in 2025, with a nominal GDP of $4.18 trillion. The IMF’s April 2025 World Economic Outlook expects India to maintain its lead as the fastest-growing major economy, despite global uncertainty and trade tensions.

BulletsIn

• India to become 4th largest economy in 2025
• Will surpass Japan with $4.18 trillion GDP
• Growth projected at 6.2% in 2025, 6.3% in 2026
• Germany may be overtaken by India by 2028
• IMF cuts Japan’s 2025 growth to 0.6% amid US tariffs
• Global growth forecast much lower: 2.8% in 2025
• Trump’s April tariffs escalated trade conflict
• 90-day tariff pause announced, excluding China
• Moody’s cuts India’s FY26 GDP to 6.3% from 6.5%
• India still leads global growth among major economies