The US is increasing scrutiny on transshipped goods that may indirectly route Chinese products into its market. India could face consequences, as its imports from China and exports to the US are both rising sharply. Washington is warning against countries acting as trade conduits, which could affect India’s manufacturing and export strategies.

BulletsIn

• US targeting transshipment to block Chinese goods entering indirectly.
• India’s rising China imports, US exports raise scrutiny.
• April: India’s exports to US up 27.3%, China imports up 27%.
• FY25: Exports to US $86.5B; China imports over $113B.
• US may invoke ‘rules of origin’ to check Chinese goods via India.
• JD Vance warned India against acting as trade conduit in April visit.
• India imposing anti-dumping duties on high-value Chinese goods like steel.
• Indian industry struggles due to cheaper Chinese products, esp. solar sector.
• US decoupling from China slow; harder for India with job, infra constraints.
• China’s overcapacity drives it to dump goods abroad, distorting trade flows.