Pakistan may face a 21% water shortage during the early Kharif season (May–June) due to India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty. The Indus River System Authority (IRSA) reported reduced water inflow from the Chenab River, citing low releases by India. The decision follows the April 22 Pahalgam terror attack in Jammu & Kashmir.

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• India suspended Indus Waters Treaty on April 24, citing security after Pahalgam attack
• IRSA warns of 21% water shortage for early Kharif, 7% for late Kharif
• Chenab River inflow at Marala sharply down due to India’s reduced releases
• Key crops like rice, cotton, maize at risk; could hit Pakistan’s food supply
• Treaty suspension halted water data sharing and project notifications to Pakistan
• India asserted right to full use of western rivers—Indus, Jhelum, Chenab
• Baglihar, Salal dams cited as cause for reduced river discharge to Pakistan
• Kharif season critical for agriculture; relies on timely irrigation, rain
• Pakistan may take dispute to international forums over alleged treaty breach
• Indus Treaty allocates ~80% water to Pakistan; India holds upstream control