The India Meteorological Department says further withdrawal is likely over Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and north interior Karnataka within two to three days.

BulletsIn

• The IMD's all-India bulletin issued on the night of October 4, 2026 places the line of withdrawal of the southwest monsoon through 27.5°N/86.5°E, Supaul, Ranchi, Raipur, Brahmapuri, Parbhani, Baramati, Harnai and 17.5°N/71.8°E.
• Conditions are likely to become favourable for further withdrawal from most parts of Marathwada and Vidarbha during the next two to three days.
• The IMD expects withdrawal from some more parts of Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh, and some parts of Telangana and north interior Karnataka, in the same period.
• On October 1, the withdrawal line ran through Gurdaspur, Chandigarh, Muzaffarnagar, Aligarh, Dholpur, Udaipur, Deesa and Naliya, showing a large shift in three days.
• The IMD declares further withdrawal based on spatial continuity, reduced moisture in water vapour imagery and five days of dry weather.
• Withdrawal from the entire country is declared only after October 1, once the circulation pattern shows a change from the southwesterly wind regime.
• An upper-air cyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Mannar and adjoining south coastal Tamil Nadu persists, with a trough extending to the east-central Arabian Sea.
• Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Coastal Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe, South Interior Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on October 5 and 6.
• Dry weather is forecast through October 10 over West and East Rajasthan, Gujarat Region, Saurashtra and Kutch, and Marathwada.
• The IMD's bulletin carried no fishermen warning for the forecast period through October 10.